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Hollie Doyle: Favorable Conditions for French Mares at
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Hollie Doyle: Favorable Conditions for French Mares at

August 21, 2026 ·

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Hollie Doyle provides analysis of the Nunthorpe Stakes at the Ebor Festival in York, assessing the impact of the weather on the performance of horses such as Bacio and Rayevka.

Hollie Doyle: Favorable Conditions for French Mares in

According to Skysports.

Background

Hollie Doyle, as the leading jockey, provides in-depth analysis of the horses participating in the Nunthorpe Stakes. With experience and a deep understanding of horse performance, his insight can give fans and bettors an advantage in assessing each horse's chances. Horses like Bacio and Rayevka, who have strong racing backgrounds, will be the main focus in this race.

Why this is important

Hollie Doyle's analysis of the Nunthorpe Stakes is very important because it can influence betting strategies and fans' expectations of the performance of the horses involved. With changeable weather, the chances of horses like Bacio and Rayevka can be greatly affected, potentially changing the outcome of the race. It also provides insight into how track conditions can affect the final result, which is very relevant for fans and bettors.

Main Points

  • Hollie Doyle: Favorable Conditions for French Mares in.
  • Hollie Doyle provides analysis of the Nunthorpe Stakes at the Ebor Festival in York, assessing the impact of the weather on the performance of horses such as Bacio and Rayevka.
  • Hollie Doyle: Conditions favor French fillies in the Nunthorpe | Racing News | Sky Sports

Hollie Doyle returns to give a preview of Friday's top class action at the Ebor Festival in York, which includes the prestigious Nunthorpe Stakes. He expressed concern about a change in conditions triggered by significant rain at Knavesmire, which could affect American sprinter Bacio's chances in the Coolmore City Of Troy Nunthorpe Stakes (3:35) at York on Friday. The Wesley Ward-owned horse showed incredible speed in a major handicap for a three-year-old horse at Royal Ascot, and there is no doubt that the fast five furlongs at York are ideal for him, but he has built a reputation on drier ground.

In contrast, the Aga Khan's mare Rayevka managed to win a Group race at ParisLongchamp in May in soft conditions before only losing to Mission Central in the King Charles III Stakes at the Royal meeting. Rayevka is a versatile and fast horse, and it seems the stage is set for him to turn the tables on Bacio, who may not have adapted to the track at the July Cup last time out, but he will also be more effective on faster ground.

Doyle also cautioned against overlooking Adaay Of Scarlett in the Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Gimcrack Stakes (3:00) at York, despite her string of second-place finishes. Hugo Palmer's colt has lost to better horses in all the big Group Two races this season - including the Coventry Stakes, July Stakes and the Richmond Stakes at the Goodwood Festival. However, he made no mistake in his defeat, and appeared to get a good chance to prove himself in a race that was weaker than his previous ones.

Doyle believes the use of cheekpieces for the first time could give jockey Oisin Murphy the boost he needs, although he will need to be able to adapt to softer conditions than he is used to. That said, the mother of Adaay Of Scarlett has proven effective on soft ground, which is a positive.

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Marco Polo, Aidan O’Brien’s horse, is another interesting entrant. The filly by Night Of Thunder is certainly highly regarded at Ballydoyle to have been selected to compete in this Group Two, so it is hoped she can pose a big threat to her more experienced rivals.

Local trainer Kevin Ryan has an excellent record in this race with four wins, and his unbeaten filly, Matteo, could be a profitable bet in his quest for a third straight win. Although it was tougher than the race at Beverley which he won well, Doyle is confident that Matteo will put in an excellent performance.

Caballo De Mar, a horse with two wins at the highest level, will return after a lackluster performance in the Gold Cup. George Scott's star was found to be suffering from heat stress after a sudden stop at the Royal meeting, but he should be ready to show his best form at this longer two-mile distance, with soft ground conditions working in his favour.

Amiloc, trainer Ralph Beckett, is unproven over this distance after falling early in the Goodwood Cup, but Doyle predicts that this longer distance will bring him back to his best. He was an excellent horse last year, including winning the Group Two King Edward VII Stakes, and this could be his time to shine again.

Doyle hopes to see his progressive three-year-old colt, Exclusive Code, in the York opener, the Sky Bet Mile Handicap (1:50). He has the ability to overcome significant weight gain following his recent win at the Goodwood Festival and has a good record on good to soft ground. His son Blue Point controlled the race from the front at Goodwood to beat another struggling Zennor Storm in second. However, Doyle is unsure whether Exclusive Code will be able to adapt to these conditions, so he hopes to see Wathnan Racing's gelding emerge victorious again.

What happened next

After racing in the Nunthorpe Stakes, attention will turn to how these horses' performances may impact their racing season ahead. If Rayevka manages to beat Bacio, it could enhance his reputation and influence the trainer's decision for future races. Additionally, the results of the Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Gimcrack Stakes will also be in the spotlight, especially for Adaay Of Scarlett who will be looking to claim victory after a string of second places.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the latest condition of the horse Bacio ahead of the Nunthorpe Stakes?

Bacio showed great pace at Royal Ascot, but there are concerns about his ability to adapt to the wet conditions at York.

How is Rayevka doing ahead of this race?

Rayevka managed to win the Group race at ParisLongchamp and only lost to Mission Central in the King Charles III Stakes.

What did Hollie Doyle say about track conditions at York?

Hollie Doyle expressed concern about the change in conditions triggered by significant rain, which could affect the sprinters' chances.

Are there any other horses to watch in the Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Gimcrack Stakes?

Doyle advises not to ignore Adaay Of Scarlett, who despite losing in the previous few races, has a good chance in this race.

What are the stakes of the Nunthorpe Stakes for participants?

The Nunthorpe Stakes is a prestigious race that is an important event for sprinters, with the opportunity to prove themselves at the highest level.

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